Federal Election (6/23/04)
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 According to Metro’s online poll, barely half of the respondents intend to vote in the June 28th election. While not scientific, the results indicate that while some may not want to participate in the national election, they cared enough to tell us. Compared to the last few federal campaign’s, Monday’s ballot choices demand more calculation on the part of voters, mixed with emotional considerations and a good bit of guesswork. Do the Liberals deserve to return to power in Ottawa -- for a fourth time? Is the newly merged Conservative party organized enough to govern, and which of its predecessors would it emulate -- the Canadian Alliance or the old Progressive Conservatives?

 How much power will the New Democratic Party garner on June 28 -- will they have enough seats in Parliament to help form a minority government? What effect would a strong Bloc Québécois have on decisions affecting the whole country? And fundamentally -- to what degree will each party follow through on its claims and promises?

 Commuting and transportation issues usually play a tiny role in elections. In fact, it was months ago that citizens spoke up about the problems getting around Canada’s big cities. In Toronto alone, hundreds of thousands of commuters signed petitions and postcards, letting their politicians know about inadequate transit service.

 The effect in Toronto, and Ottawa, was impressive. In announcement after announcement, federal politicians joined their local and provincial counterparts across the country to unveil new transit projects and reinvestment programs. After years of slow deterioration in both infrastructure and travel times, any announcement was welcome -- including the one in late March 2004 giving the TTC a billion dollars over five years to maintain the system.

 Compared to the status quo, even a pre-election promise was better than nothing. Reality set in of course -- like other political pledges, the TTC is having trouble actually getting the expected funds from government officials. Yet all those postcards and petitions can be linked to the campaign promises facing voters right now -- especially the pledges to share a portion of the federal gasoline tax.

 In addition to cash for specific projects, the Liberals under Paul Martin say they will eventually direct five cents per litre of the tax to local governments, calling it their "New Deal" for cities. The scheme was later watered down to include “communities” -- which probably means a smaller share for large transit systems like the TTC and GO. The NDP, led by former Toronto councillor Jack Layton, claim the Liberals will not follow through on the pledge after the election, and say their "Real Deal for Municipalities" will offer $5 to $6 billion a year over four years to municipalities -- exceeding the gas tax promise of both the Liberals and Conservatives.

 Stephen Harper’s Tories believe Ottawa should not be directly involved in deciding how cities deal with transportation needs. They would shut down the existing Liberal infrastructure programs, and promise "at least three cents of the gas tax to the provinces." James Moore, a BC MP and the Conservative transport critic, says his party would honour all existing Liberal announcements on highways and transit, and would sit down immediately with provincial governments to negotiate the transfer of gas revenues. If finances allow -- presumably after a new Harper government sorted out the full cost of promised tax cuts and higher defense spending -- provinces could receive more than the promised three cents per litre.

 Similarly, the federal Green Party would direct money to lower governments, but defer transportation decisions to municipal and provincial representatives. I know commuting is only one of many considerations this election, but these are your choices -- direct federal involvement in local transportation, or simply sending cheques to the provincial government. Whether the promised money will indeed arrive is another question entirely.

 

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© Ed Drass 2008