Flying Numbers (2/5/05)
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 Yesterday’s emergency session of the transit commission was a flood of financial figures, mostly in the millions of dollars, as the TTC tries to nail down its 2005 budget. With so many numbers sloshing around among city councillors, TTC staff, city finance bureaucrats and journalists, it took great concentration -- or a calculator -- to understand it all. Mayor David Miller was there too, announcing the first installment of much-needed fuel tax funds from the federal government.

 In the decade since the province cut transit funding, the City of Toronto has had to make room in its already huge budget for the growing maintenance needs of the TTC, like all those aging buses and streetcars, tunnels, stations, tracks -- you know the list. These billions of dollars have been eating at the city’s treasury, so much so that around eight cents of every dollar paid by taxpayers is for debt. This year, Toronto’s cost of borrowing is may surpass one tenth of every tax dollar taken in, fuelled in large part by the TTC. This may in turn drop Toronto’s credit rating.

 You’ve heard that the province is coming back into the equation, directing fuel tax funds and other money towards urban transit -- but nowhere near the levels it once provided. The federal government has also been trumpeting that it will send money Toronto’s way, but it’s still not clear how much Ottawa will give. In the meantime, the TTC backlog has been building, and the financial uncertainty makes these budget deliberations all the more confusing.

 Riders don’t think about those big costs for infrastructure maintenance and vehicle replacement, until service is affected -- by which time it’s too late. TTC officials have been going through their budgets, suggesting ways to put off spending. This means old streetcar barns may not get renovated, and garage space for new buses may not be built. One proposal suspends construction on an elevator at York Mills station, another cuts back on the already meagre budget for bus shelters.

 This can pit councillors, TTC staff and everyone who cares about transit against each other, trying to protect their favourite parts from being cut. The transit commissioners, including the mayor, then have to balance the real needs of the system with a huge host of other cash-strapped city departments. Water pipes, sewers and roads are also backlogged. The province is set to give new powers to Toronto, so it can raise its own funds, but not soon enough to help the city this year. 

 The deadline for balancing the books is looming, and another extraordinary TTC session is set for today. It’s still tough to tell where the bottom line will be drawn, but riders will likely feel it. In the long term, system expansion will be harder to justify as basic everyday needs are put off. More immediately, TTC chair Howard Moscoe said Wednesday that a fair hike “is in the wind”. And then there’s the labour agreement with TTC employees that comes up for renewal next month -- more uncertainty.

 The TTC seems to hit a budget crisis every year, but this time the commission is not expressing its frustration so emotionally. With outside money starting to arrive, the upper levels of government are no longer cast as uncaring misers. Yet both Ottawa and Queen’s Park have had a close look at the TTC’s books, and can see the obvious. The perennial “cash crunch” will persist, and next year does not look much better. If these near-crises are to end, and we want to actually expand the TTC, a new way of funding must be worked out.

 Send e-mail to transit@eddrass.com. Include address and phone number.

 

© Ed Drass 2008