What to expect (03/24/06)
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 What a thrill to be a driver in the 1950s and 60s. Smooth sheets of concrete were blooming everywhere in the form of new highways, expressways and Ways named for royalty. The 401 was growing into the busiest freeway on the continent, Toronto was offering suburban commuters new routes to downtown and older roads were widened and extended into the farming fringe.

 In this new century and millennium, there is still an ambitious plan to expand the 400-series network across Ontario -- but the obstacles have multiplied. Existing development and newly preserved natural land now block attempts to widen and extend. Opponents have appeared, concerned about sprawl and environmental decline.

 Although the provincial government does not tout a grand highway scheme, there are quite a few pans in the fire. Environmental assessments or preliminary studies have been underway across Ontario. Occasionally word seeps out of complex negotiations between federal, state and provincial governments on what to do about crowded borders at Windsor and Niagara. Bridges? Tunnels? Who knows?

 As the Queen Elizabeth Way overloads, the province has been thinking about how to link greater Toronto to New York State with a new express road. Earlier plans for a highway across the Niagara Peninsula south of the QEW faced much opposition. Perhaps the new name for the project, ‘Niagara to GTA Corridor’ reflects an openness to exploring other options, like better rail service. Premature thinking has this highway being numbered 408, wrapping around Hamilton and hooking up with Highway 403, then possibly with the 407 toll route or the 401.

 An equally fresh moniker, the Greater Golden Horseshoe, is now applied to the  continuous urban blob from Bowmanville to St. Catharines. It’s going to be interesting to see if Queen’s Park can expand the transport network, without setting off a development wildfire -- low-density projects will surely follow the path of any proposed highway.

 Finding a place for over three million new inhabitants will be tricky. Some foresee a total population in the Horseshoe of almost 12 million by 2031. That’s close to Ontario’s entire present-day head count.

 Expect lots of growth around Guelph and Waterloo Region, especially as home developers eventually leap-frog over the no-build green belt surrounding Toronto. Ontario’s transport ministry (MTO) has long wished to beef up Highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener, but their ardour seems to have cooled -- perhaps due to local criticism and the upgrading of alternate routes.

 Even more moribund appears to be unlucky "Highway 413" -- a proposed link between Guelph and Vaughan, the self-named “city above Toronto”. By contrast, Highway 410 is slowly centimetering north from Brampton toward Caledon. Some work has already begun, and MTO has just gone to tender for a short extension.

 Once Queen’s Park sorts out its growth plans for the Greater Hogtown Area, we’ll get some idea about sending more highways northward. Behind the 410 in the planning pipeline is an extension of the 427 from the Person airport area through Vaughan.

 Under the previous Conservative government, it seemed more certain that the 427 would eventually parallel the snow- and traffic-clogged Highway 400. Another route to Barrie seems like overkill, and for now the idea appears to be hibernating. Widening the 400 might be more practical, but there’s a real bottleneck once the existing highway reaches Barrie’s outskirts.

 We’re also waiting to hear whether Highway 404 resumes its crawl towards the south shore of Lake Simcoe. This 45 kilometer project was green-lighted by the province in 2002, along with the Bradford Bypass, a four-lane, 16 km freeway connecting Highways 400 and 404.

 Coming up: The North, and a new crossing to Quebec?

 

Ed Drass, with files by James Bow

 

edrass@nationalpost.com

© Ed Drass 2008